Vegas Football Odds
Vegas Football Odds
Sunday Night Football betting Preview, Vikings vs. Packers When it comes to betting in sports, NFL is considered as the Cadillac of sports betting. As the NFL season approaches all the bettors come to action, whether the ones who just bet for the fun of it, or be the ones who take it as a source of income, and the ones who are just looking for a way to earn some extra cash. Loosing and winning are the two sides of the same coin when it comes to betting, so here are some useful tips that can help you win bets this season. The best place to get into the action is www.sportsbook.com the home of football betting. TIP#1 One should choose the dogs wisely. There couldn’t be a more beneficial bet in NFL than playing an underdog at home. Any bet of points from 11 to 13 on a prompted underdog against the spread is likely a beneficial bet. Leaving other dogs than this will be a good decision. The points other that the spread one should have at least some different measures they qualify. Bets shouldn’t be placed keeping in mind the favored opponent but at they should be a lot more motivated. TIP#2 It is very important that you bet a consistent amount, and commit yourself to betting the same amount in every game. One should know that no game is more worthy that the other. If you are looking for earning most profit with low risk rates then you should follow a much-maintained pattern for your betting. TIP#3 One of the easiest and the best’s way to earn money from NFL sports betting is that you follow the NFL very closely. And you would also need to develop a niche for NFL. One also has an advantage of contouring economically and efficiently ones research, which is a plus point for you because the spots book doesn’t have a freedom of choice for that matter of fact. TIP#4 Influence is a cognitive factor that tends to have an effect on what you do, so one should make sure that you don’t place any of you bets under the influence of other individuals. You need to have a very clear mind while placing your bet because only that helps being a fortunate bettor. TIP#5 People tend to bet on their favorites a lot but the truth is that only once out of three times the favorite wins. So this means that you will only have a 33.33% chance of winning which is quiet a big risk if you have a lot of money on stake or when betting is your source of income. So you need to think with a clear mind before betting and only then bet.
2010-10-23
It’s Brett Favre’s second return trip to Green Bay, but this time he’s more vulnerable with his on-field elbow problems and his off-field sexting allegations. Sportsbook.com currently has the Vikings vs. Packers point spread holding steady at Green Bay -2.5 points.
After torching the Packers a year ago, Favre is still getting his legs under him in 2010, especially with Randy Moss working his way into the lineup. Look for Minnesota to ride Adrian Peterson instead, especially since the Packers are more susceptible to the run with ILB Nick Barnett out for the year. Miami rumbled for 150 yards in its win over Green Bay last week.
Favre has been incredible in his two games against Green Bay, completing 70 percent of his passes for 515 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions. Moss (nine rec., 136 yds, 1 TD with Minnesota this year) has also shredded the Pack with 66 catches for 1,243 yards and 12 TD in 13 career meetings. RB Adrian Peterson has also enjoyed facing his rival with 604 rushing yards and four touchdowns in six games against Green Bay. If Minnesota can win the turnover battle (minus-5 ratio) and keep the Packers’ excellent pass rush (21 sacks) at bay, it could be a long day for the Cheeseheads.
The Packers have lost their last two home games and last four games overall ATS. Aaron Rodgers has thrown seven interceptions and has been sacked 14 times already this year. But there is hope for an injury-riddled Green Bay team that was missing eight starters against Miami. CB Al Harris (left knee) and safety Atari Bigby (left ankle) both plan to play Sunday night for the first time this season. NFL sack leader LB Clay Matthews is also expected to suit up after sitting out last week’s game with a left hamstring injury.
The Vikings are 11-8 ATS (7-12 SU) at Green Bay since 1992 and this NFL betting trend uncovered at Sportsbook.com shows why Minnesota is the pick on Sunday night.
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) - slow starting offensive team - scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half, after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games.
(202-133 since 1983.) (60.3%, +55.7 units. Rating = 2*).<P>
Sportsbook.com currently has the Vikings vs. Packer total handicapped at 44.5 points. And after reading the following football betting trends, it is easy to see why the majority of the bettors are backing the ‘over’.
MINNESOTA is 20-6 OVER (76.9%, +13.4 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992. The average score was MINNESOTA 25.3, OPPONENT 29.2 - (Rating = 2*).
Play Over - Any team against the total (GREEN BAY) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games. (106-57 since 1983.) (65%, +43.3 units. Rating = 2*).
Now that you have the key numbers for tonight’s game, head over to Sportsbook.com to wager on this game or to simply check out all of the NFL Week 7 betting odds.
5 Tips to improve your Football Betting
2010-08-23
NFL: GREEN BAY vs. ARIZONA (4:30 PM ET, FOX)
2010-01-09
Green Bay makes its third trip to Arizona since August when the Packers and Cardinals go head-to-head to wrap up the wildcard round. On both previous occasions, once in the preseason, the Packers jumped out to a huge lead, and just this past Sunday, led 26-0 at the half before finishing off a 33-7 win. Experts & bettors alike seem love the Packers, despite the fact that Arizona is the defending NFC champ. At last check on the Sportsbook.com Betting Trends page, 85% of bettors were on the side of the Packers, and the line had moved from Arizona -2.5 to a pick em’.
Arizona finished 10-6, and Green Bay 11-5, yet it is the Cardinals that are field goal favorites at presstime, as they look for a second straight NFC title. HC Ken Whisenhunt’s team was just 4-4 SU & ATS at home in ’09, but is 9-1 ATS at home when coming off a loss in his tenure. Green Bay boasts a 22-9 ATS mark under Mike McCarthy on the road including 6-0 ATS vs. NFC West teams. The Packers haven’t played a road playoff game since after the ’03 season.
Forget the 26-point win as a statement game for Green Bay, because Arizona pulled Kurt Warner in the first quarter then watched as backups Matt Leinart and Brian St. Pierre completed 15 of 25 passes for 108 yards with three interceptions.
No team in the NFC is on a roll quite like the Packers, who won seven of their last eight thanks in large part to the improved protection of Aaron Rodgers and better production by Ryan Grant in the second half of the season (632 yards, seven scores). Rodgers, sacked 37 times in the first eight games, was sacked just 13 times in the last eight and guided the offense to an average of 30.7 points.
The Cardinals didn’t offer the same type of scoring consistency down the stretch, posting more than 30 points three times in the last five games and less than 10 points twice. Green Bay’s defense ranked second in the NFL in total yards (284.5), but despite the presence of cornerback Charles Woodson (nine interceptions, four forced fumbles, three touchdowns) still struggled against the pass. Teams completed 49 throws of more than 20 yards, and Green Bay allowed more receiving touchdowns than only three teams. It’s not exactly a match made in heaven, considering four Arizona players notched at least 50 catches.
It’s also worth noting the Packers are back on the road, where four of their five wins came against teams below .500, and the fifth was against the depleted Cardinals.
But of all the stats that will be thrown around leading up to the wild-card matchup, here are a few that stick out the most—Green Bay is just 3-7 in its last 10 playoff games and dropped three straight on the road.
Arizona, meanwhile, boasts nearly the same team that took the long route to last season’s Super Bowl, winning three playoff games before falling to Pittsburgh.
PREDICTION: Warner, a playoff veteran, is 8-3 all-time in the postseason with three Super Bowl appearances (one win). Rodgers, on the other hand, makes his playoff debut. The experience factor makes the difference. ARIZONA 24, GREEN BAY 17
NFL Playoff Statistical Analysis
2009-01-15
Here is a list of NFL playoff trends that have proven successful to follow or fade in recent years. All of these angles reflect the teams’ current statistics, including the playoff games of ’09. The records for the ’09 playoffs of each angle are also given along with the qualifying teams for this week’s games.
Keep in mind that these are purely raw stat based angles and don’t take into account any other betting scenarios, such as line range, situational factors, or experience. Using various stats, here are 18 different playoff betting trends that have produced either better than 55% or worse than 45% results.
Scoring
• Home teams scoring 26.0 PPG or more are just 14-21 ATS (40%)
Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
• Home teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 22-17 ATS (56.4%)
Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh
• Road teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 19-11 ATS (63.3%)
Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Home teams outscoring their opponents by less than 5.0 PPG on the season are 8-14 ATS (36.4%)
Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
Rushing Stats
• Teams that run for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 25-19 ATS (56.8%)
Record in ’09: 1-3 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Home teams that average 106 RYPG or less are 15-5 ATS (75.0%)
Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona, Pittsburgh
• Road teams that average 136 RYPG or more are 13-10 ATS (56.5%)
Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
• Teams that allow fewer rushing yards per attempt on the season are 52-38 ATS (57.8%).
Record in ’09: 7-1 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh, Philadelphia
• Road teams that allow 3.90 YPR or fewer are 27-11 ATS (71.1%)
Record in ’09: 3-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
• Road teams that allow fewer than 100.0 RYPG are 25-14 ATS (64.1%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
Passing Stats
• Teams that pass for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 20-15 ATS (57.1%)
Record in ’09: 2-3 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
• Home teams that gain more than 7.40 yards per pass attempt or more on the season are just 9-17 ATS (34.6%)
Record in ’09: 2-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
• Teams that pass for more yards per game on the season and are an underdog are 22-16 ATS (57.9%)
Record in ’09: 3-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
• Home teams that allow 192.0 PYPG or fewer are 11-16 ATS (40.7%)
Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
Yards Per Play Stats
• Road teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 17-5 ATS (77.2%)
Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
• Home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.00 or more yards per play are just 2-9 ATS (18.2%)
Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
• Road teams outgaining their opponents by 0.25 or more yards per play on the season are 15-7 ATS (68.2%)
Record in ’09: 5-2 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
Turnover Stats
• Road teams that enjoyed a turnover differential of more than +1.00 per game on the season are 8-2 ATS (80%)
Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
- Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
NFL: Browns-Giants on MNF preseason football
2008-08-18
The defending Super Bowl Champion Giants will play in front of their home fans for the first time when they host the Browns on Monday Night Football. Playing as a 3-point favorite, New York will have its work cut out, as Cleveland has been a bankroll-building club under Romeo Crennel as an underdog in the preseason. Bettors have taken notice at Sportsbook.com, with nearly 80% of the early action favoring that side of the spread in this one.
This is Crennel’s fourth year in charge of the Browns, and the first season that his club has faced the expectations that come along with being a 10-win club from the prior season. The initial returns in preseason game #1 last weekend were favorable against the Jets, as the Browns won 24-20. However, they were a 5-1/2 point home favorite in that contest and failed to cover the pointspread.
That failure to notch the ATS win shouldn’t come as a surprise to those who have followed Cleveland’s past preseason exploits. In fact, here are some of the preseason trends associated with Crennel’s tenure with the Browns:
• Cleveland is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS as an underdog in the preseason since ’05, 2-3 SU & ATS as a favorite.
• Cleveland is 5-1 SU & ATS on the road in the preseason under Crennel, 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS at home.
• Cleveland is 5-2 SU & ATS when the line is +3 to -3 in the preseason since ’05, 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS otherwise.
One of the real positives to come out of the win against the Jets was the play of QB Brady Quinn, last year’s first round draft pick. He was very efficient in moving the club up & down the field, completing 13 of 17 passes for 133 yards. However, on the other side of the ball, the Browns’ defense yielded 7.6 yards per play to the Jets’ offense, mostly big plays through the air. Crennel will obviously be looking for improvement on those numbers this week.
On the other sideline, the Giants come off a ho-hum 13-10 loss at Detroit. As Super Bowl Champion, their biggest goal this season will be to stay healthy. There are a few key positional battles to keep an eye on as well, including reserve QB, where veterans David Carr and Anthony Wright are engaged in a fierce battle to see who will be starting quarterback Eli Manning's primary backup. Both performed well in the preseason opener and will look to continue their strong play against the Browns.
Head coach Tom Coughlin biggest concern of the Detroit game was in the secondary. New York's coverage was lackluster at times against the Lions, allowing Detroit's quarterbacks completed 19 of 24 passes for 214 yards and a touchdown. They will hope to improve vs. the Browns' explosive aerial attack.
In terms of historical trends concerning the Giants and Coughlin, here are two of the most significant:
• NY GIANTS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a home favorite since 1993. The average score was NY GIANTS 17.6, OPPONENT 19.8 - (Rating = 0*) – However, under Coughlin, this record has improved to 3-1 SU & ATS!
• Coughlin is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game in all games he has coached since 1993. The average score was Coughlin 21.2, OPPONENT 21.0 - (Rating = 0*)
While on the subject of the total, set at 35, one of the Top StatFox Super Situations favors the UNDER:
* Play Under - Any team against the total (CLEVELAND) - after dominating the time of possession last game (>36 minutes). (48-22 over the last 10 seasons.) (68.6%, +23.8 units. Rating = 2*)
Game time is 8:00 PM ET for this Monday night affair. Watch for it on ESPN, the worldwide leader in sports.